RE: Tariffs
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I don't know Trump's real intentions. Is it to exclude or marginalize China in world trade (with the consequence of weakening them militarily)? Or is it to reshore manufacturing to the US, in addition to generating some tariff income?
Guten tag, Dear my friend @zuerich !
East Asians like me speculate that Trump could cause China to attack Taiwan, which could spark a war with Japan.
Russia has now wasted all its energy on the war in Ukraine, so it will not be able to support China if there is a war between China and Japan.
I suspect China will attempt to conquer Taiwan in a limited war, without using nukes!
Japan is likely to go to war with China to prevent China's conquest of Taiwan.
If a Sino-Japanese war breaks out, South Korea could go to war with North Korea.
It is likely that China, Japan, and South Korea will not engage in a nuclear war that would destroy each other, but will instead engage in a war using only conventional forces!
But, I don't want war to break out! So, I hope my dangerous assumption is wrong!😂
Danke, gut!