95% of all Bitcoin already mined, next halving in about 2 years already
19,950,400 von 21,000,000, das sind 95% aller je existierenden Bitcoin wurden bereits geschürft, das heißt es bleiben für die nächsten 100+ Jahre nur noch 5% Bitcoin übrig die gemined werden, bis die maximale Anzahl von 21 Millionen erreicht ist.
Die letzten Bitcoin, Satoshis, werden ungefähr im Jahr 2140 plus/minus geschürft werden, ganz genau kann man das nicht vorhersagen, da es von den Schwankungen der Hash-Power abhängt.
Exakt alle 210,000 Blocks wird der Block-Reward halbiert, was ungefähr einem 4 Jahres-Zyklus entspricht. Das nächste Halving wird für April 2028 prognostiziert, ist also nur noch gute 2 Jahre entfernt.
Aufgrund der logarithmischen Eigenschaft der Block-Rewards wird sich die Inflation bereits in den nächsten Jahren noch einmal dramatisch verlangsamen. Noch 2 Halvings und die Inflation von Bitcoin wird komplett irrelevant werden, da wir dann bereits ungefähr 99% der Bitcoin geschürft haben werden. Logarithmischer Trend. Für das restliche Prozent wird es dann ungefähr 108 Jahre dauern, wobei sich das Mining für einen Bitcoin immer weiter verlangsamen wird.
Wie Polymarket vorhergesagt hat, ist Bitcoin jetzt tatsächlich unter 90K gecrasht. Bin gespannt, wie es weitergeht. Mache mir aber keine Sorgen um Bitcoin.
Im Zweifelsfall herauszoomen.
Was sagt ihr dazu? Wie lange denkt ihr, wird der Bärenmarkt anhalten?
95% of all Bitcoin mined. AI-generated meme (copilot)
https://x.com/w_s_bitcoin/status/1990422684530847832
Bitcoin's mined supply crosses 95% of 21 million cap with more than a century of issuance left
English
19,950,400 out of 21,000,000, or 95% of all Bitcoin ever to exist, have already been mined, which means that only 5% of Bitcoin remain to be mined over the next 100+ years until the maximum number of 21 million is reached.
The last Bitcoin, Satoshis, will be mined around the year 2140, give or take. It is not possible to predict the exact date exactly, as it depends on fluctuations in hash power.
Exactly every 210,000 blocks, the block reward is halved, which corresponds to approximately a 4-year cycle. The next halving is predicted for April 2028, so it is only a good 2 years away.
Due to the logarithmic nature of block rewards, inflation will slow down dramatically again in the coming years. Two more halvings and Bitcoin inflation will become completely irrelevant, as we will have mined approximately 99% of Bitcoin by then. Logarithmic trend. The remaining percent will then take about 108 years, with mining for one Bitcoin slowing down more and more.
As Polymarket predicted, Bitcoin has now actually crashed below 90K. I'm curious to see how it will continue. But I'm not worried about Bitcoin.
When in doubt, zoom out.
What do you think? How do long do you think the bear market will continue?
The time for the Bitcoin halving to end and the new Bitcoin halving to begin is very close, but due to the current fluctuating price of the time, interest is being lost.
So much Bitcoin has already been mined that the supply will now increase very slowly. The 2028 halving is also important. Now we have to see which direction the market goes over time.
Gerade deswegen denke ich, dass die Zyklen so nicht mehr gegeben sind, bei weitem nicht so wie zuvor. Aber auch eben weil inzwischen andere Investieren.
Staaten, Unis, Firmen...
Denk ich auch, Halving-Zyklen sind nicht mehr so bedeutend wie früher, eher die Entwicklung an den Märkten, KI-Bubble etc.
I love the deflationary nature of BTC, though I think for now BTC will continue going downwards. It might actually go to <75k. We can only hope that the bulls take control anytime in the near future.
2140 is absolutely very far from now. Future people might be on the moon by that time
!BBH
Still a long way for halving, until it who knows, bear and bull don't exist anymore when politicians can influence crypto
It is getting more challenging to mine Bitcoin as it is nearing 100%
https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1p0guzt/95_of_all_bitcoin_already_mined_next_halving_in/
This post has been shared on Reddit by @tsnaks through the HivePosh initiative.
I have no idea how long the bear market will continue, but I just don't see us going up in the short term. It's crazy to see that 95% is already mined. It makes me wonder what will happen as that gets closer and closer to 100%.
It occurred to me that mining cryptocurrencies is like collecting stamps. Sometimes it is more popular, sometimes less popular. Used stamps are functionally useless. They are useless. They are just collector's items. However, sometimes there is literally a buying frenzy, and sometimes prices fall. It depends on the global economic situation.
I think it will be the same with cryptocurrencies. They will fall and rise. One way and then the other. But they will never disappear. They are driven by human desire for wealth, passion, and belief.
I think the bear market will continue on 2026 onwards
Ich schätze, die Politik wird sich letztlich den Cryptomarkt unter den Nagel reißen. Selbst wenn sie keine direkte Handhabe auf die Wallets hat, macht sie es über Umwege in Kooperation mit den Börsen und dann mit dem Hebel der Steuer.